Research by: Alesya Sokolova
An adapted version of this text in Russian can be read on deg.expert. Read Cedar's research on the history of election fraud in offline voting in Russia here.
Introduction
From September 6 to 8, around 4,000 electoral campaigns of various scales will take place across 83 regions of Russia. The Moscow City Duma elections are of particular interest to public observers, as for the first time, most Muscovites are expected to vote online. Voters will have to submit an application in advance if they want to cast a paper ballot.
Remote electronic voting (REV) has been conducted in Russia since 2019, in elections ranging from local to presidential. However, until now, REV was only an option, with in-person voting at polling stations remaining the default method. The Moscow City Election Commission's decision to limit traditional ballot casting by requiring in-advance applications has sparked criticism among experts. Stanislav Andreichuk, co-chair of the public movement for voters' rights Golos, argues that e-voting is less transparent for public oversight, and its widespread implementation could undermine citizens' trust in election outcomes.
Experiments with electronic voting are taking place in dozens of countries worldwide. In some places, it involves only the use of machines for automatic vote counting at polling stations, while in others, it includes direct online voting. However, universal e-voting in parliamentary or presidential elections remains rare.
For example, online elections are held in Estonia. The source code of Estonia's electronic voting system is open and has been reviewed by numerous international experts. Despite this, the Estonian e-voting system has faced criticism, particularly for the inability to verify the results. E-voting is also used in referendums in some Swiss cantons. However, in 2019, opposition representatives criticised the electronic voting system for its vulnerability to manipulation.
A study by the Open Evidence research centre for the European Commission highlights the following drawbacks of e-voting:
- Uncontrolled environment, difficulty in ensuring that people vote freely;
- Risk of cyberattacks on the system with the aim of election manipulation;
- Risk of cyberattacks on individual voters' devices;
- Difficulty in guaranteeing at the same time accurate voter identification and secrecy;
- Voter accounts may be stolen or sold;
- Difficulty in observing the voting process;
- Difficulty in recounting votes and verifying election results;
- Dependence on voters having reliable internet connections;
- Technical failures and cyberattacks may prevent voters from casting their ballots.
Concerns about interference in online elections or the impact of simple technical glitches on election results are not unfounded. In 2021, the results of local elections in the Australian state of New South Wales had to be annulled because some voters were unable to cast their votes due to problems with the online voting platform. Although only about 150 voters were affected, the High Court of Australia determined that their votes could have influenced the election results. As a result, the election was rerun without the use of the electronic system. The German Constitutional Court even banned the use of e-voting machines, arguing that voters without specialised technical skills would not be able to verify the integrity of the voting process.
These are examples from democratic countries. In contrast, Russian courts have never ruled against the use of REV or annulled its results, despite numerous reports of violations that had likely influenced election outcomes. Under the full control of the Russian state apparatus, the REV system complements traditional tools of fraud, such as "analog" ballot falsification and protocol tampering, but proving electronic violations is much more difficult. However, it is easier to track each individual vote in case someone needs to check the effectiveness of "directive" voting by dependent voters.
In this text, we explore the key risks of electronic voting systems by examining the violations of voters' rights during the short history of REV in Russia. We investigate the system's technical vulnerabilities that open up opportunities for fraud, as well as the analytical methods still available to observers despite the system's opacity.